Teams on bye week: Bills, Bengals, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, 49ers
1 Rice @Jax He is the premier NFL fantasy PPR back. In weeks he doesn’t score he still gets 20 because of his work in the pass game. Jacksonville is a bad defense that was propped up by an easy schedule and Mendenhall dominated them last week. Rice is the safest play to give you a huge game with a high ceiling and a safe floor.
2 Mcfadden vs KC – He got it going early last week and was a broken tackle or two away from some other big gainers. Campbell getting hurt early sapped some life out of the offense even though Boller did a respectable job filling in. Carson Palmer should be above average there and keep defenses from loading up on DMC, not that it would matter as his talent usually wins out.
3 Foster @Tenn – Tennessee has only given up 1 td on the ground this year , but gives up over a 100 rushing yards a week. Foster has only scored 1 TD this year and will finish the season with 10 plus rushing TD’s. Something has a chance to give this week for both teams giving Foster some really big upside.
4 Forte @TB – Describing him in one word – Consistent. He does it all for that offense and has exceeded most everyone’s expectations coming into this season. TB defense is very vulnerable and Forte is a PPR pass catching beast which gives him the nod over more explosive runners like AP.
5 AP vs GB – Ponder starting can’t be worse than Mcnabb. He always offers huge game potential and is the most talented runner in the NFL. Why write too much about a guy who is going to start every week in any format on every fantasy team, so let’s move on.
6 Chris Johnson vs Hou – Houston giving up 4.6 YPC and 6 rushing TDs so far. If CJ doesn’t go big here you may be looking at the beginning of the decline of a back that lit up the NFL just two short seasons ago. I think he performs good this week.
7 Turner @ Detroit – A 3 TD candidate going into every week. Doesn’t catch passes , but his TD potential is enough to make him a must start during a big Bye week.
8 Mendenhall vs AZ – After last week it is safe to say Mendenhall is ready to be what I thought he would be this year. A lock for 100 and at least 1TD a week. Arizona has given up 8 ground TDs this year , yea that’s bad and that makes him a must start.
Teams on bye week: Broncos, Titans, Chiefs, Cardinals, Chargers, Seahawks
1 Finley vs Stl – He is equally as talented , or even more so than any other TE in fantasy and out of all of them he is due for the biggest game.
2 Graham @TB – Brees clearly loves him and he is producing with volume targets and receptions.
3 Witten @NE – There are going to be a lot of mouths to feed there this week , but due to the sheer nature and scoring potential of the game this week , he is a top of the line start.
4 A. Hernandez vs Dal – He is another week removed from his knee ailment and was targetted heavily last week. He dropped a sure TD pass which no doubt was the result of some rust from not playing for a few weeks. The rust will be shaken and he will take another step toward regaining his early dominant form.
5 Vernon Davis @ Det – They are going to need to pass in order to win against Detroit. Davis has been on the come up since his meeting with Harbaugh. If he ever played with an elite QB this guy would be the #1 Te every year.
6 Gronk vs Dal – He scores this week after two weeks of not finding the endzone.
Teams on bye week: Broncos, Titans, Chiefs, Cardinals, Chargers, Seahawks
1 Rodgers vs STL – St Louis has limited yards this year , but has already given up 8 TD tosses and that was factoring in a week when they didn’t even play. Rodgers throws for a minimium of 3 TDs this week with potential for huge yardage.
2 Brady vs Dal – Brady has been held in check for two straight weeks but this will not be the case in what could be the biggest scoring game of the week.
3 Brees @TB – TB is in the bottom third of the league in pass defense and we saw what the Niners did to that defense last week. Brees can’t be stopped by a good defense let alone a defense that routinely gets burned deep.
4 Romo @NE – The worst pass defense in the NFL meets one of the most dynamic receiving corps in the league plus a stat hog QB. Cowboys will have no problem moving the ball in big chunks this weekend.
5 Vick @ Wash – Washington has been at the top of the league in pass defense this year , but Vick is not like most QBs. With their backs against the wall I simply can not envision a scenario that doesn’t end with a huge Vick day.
6 Stafford vs SF – Stafford was held in check last week , but that was something to expect since he was on too ridiculous of a pace. That being said he is at home against a defense that has been playing well , but they will still have no chance to stop that pass offense. Best should be held in check which means Detroit will have to throw it to win.
7 Cam Newton @Atl – the Falcons defense has been a huge disappointment this year giving up huge yardage numbers and creating no pressure or turnovers. The Panthers offense is clearly on the come up with Cam Newton, who is just a monster right now. Keep in mind thought that the early season passing yard numbers by Cam were flukey and he really bumps his points by running for TDs , which is killing Stewart’s fantasy value. The guy is a must start already though , and that is impressive.
BYE WEEKS: DEN , TEN , KC, AZ, SD, SEA
1 Mcfadden vs Cle – Most are putting AP in this spot , but I feel like Mcfadden is a breakout week waiting to happen. He has been held without a TD for two weeks and is going against a defense that is 25th in the NFL in total rushing yards allowed. BTW the 4 Rbs Cleveland has faced: Benson , Addai , D. Thomas and Cj2k and Mcfadden is better than all of them.
2 AP @Chi – We saw what Best did to them last week and they are slow to the ball as they lack overall team speed. Watching AP run is just ridiculous , even he doesn’t know where he is going sometimes. Expect another monster day.
3 Rice vs Hou – Houston loses Mario Williams which really hurts a defense that is playing above its paygrade right now. Rice is going to be impossible to stop at home off a bye week against a defense that will have no answer for him. PS Houston gives up 4.8 YPC and that was before the Williams injury.
4 Mccoy @Wash – He is impossible to guard in that offense , but Washington is a very good tackling team. His dual threat ability ultimately wins out every week and I think Vick will be energized in this game. We all know what happens to NFL talent once their back is against the wall.
5 Foster @ Bal – He can run against anyone even a team giving up next to nothing on the ground. Regardless of where I put him he is still a must start for the simple fact he is going to get 30 touches weeklyand has multiple TD potential.
6 Forte vs Min – Earth to Matt Forte, you can not keep up these rushing numbers.. can you? The guy looks great , and is a lock for touches , catches and yards. If they ever get the O Line to block anyone he could be even better.
7 Gore @Det – Detroit giving up almost 5 yards per carry , Gore looks back in form , Alex Smith actually looks ok , and Vernon Davis is beasting right now. In Harbaugh I trusted before the season , keep it going Niners!
8 Fred Jackson @ NYG – He is playing above his skillset , and it is pissing me the hell off. Someone tackle this guy , he is not all that fast , not terribly shifty doesn’t posessess bulldozer power , but yet he just gets yard after yard and falls forward. This offense is perfect for him and he killed me last week on fanduel as the lemmings are flocking to this flavor of the month.
1 Finley vs Denver – Sorry Gronk! But Finley right now is the TE to own in 2011.
2 Gronkowski vs Oak – He will be featured heavily again , but he will also not be able to keep up his barrage of TDs all season , or can he?
3 Graham vs Jax – Away against a surprisingly good pass defense, Colston may be back, but Graham is coming into his own , very solid , safe TE to own right now.
4 Witten vs Det – The Romo injury is sapping some of the life out of that offense. He will need to be on track this week or the Lions might run away with this one
5 Vernon Davis vs Philly – The LBs are bad there , flat out terrible , Their secondary won’t be able to cover him and 6-8 catches a week since his sit down with Harbaugh seems legit.
What to look for in tonights game.
Let’s break down each teams key players and get some sleepers out there.
Was on the money last MNF calling Hixon a sleeper and he made a spectacular TD catch. Also called the Giants win and Eli stepping his game up.
Even gave you this nugget ” Mike Sims Walker is enough of a primadonna that he will bring his A game for a national tv audience” Sure enough MSW delivered which made me look REAL GOOD!
On to tonights game:
Romo – will play and play fine , he showed last week that he has a high pain tolerance and he will need it as rib injuries are VERY painful – 275 yards 2 tds
Dez – Expected to play a monumental role on the Dallas passing game regardless of the injury. Was very aggressive about his treatment this week as he no doubt realizes on a national stage with Austin out he could grab some league wide headlines with a great performance.
FEARLESS FORECAST: 7 112 1td
Witten – Looks great so far and Romo obviously has great chemistry , with Felix playing but being nicked up , Witten will be the safety valve he always has been. Not much in the passing game right now so something like 6 for 75 1 td is where I see his stat line ending up.
Felix – I would avoid him , I have discussed a few times how I do NOT think he is a top end fantasy player and he proved that to me last week. He scored a td week 1 but that will be the abberration NOT the rule.
Ogletree – Everyone is all over this guy Holley. Why? Because he caught a long bomb in OT to help beat the niners? REALLY? That one catch is the reason Holley became a potential matchup play? NOT A CHANCE!Ogletree is actually a pretty good WR , and with Austin out , he is my pick to surprise this week as Romo and him have created some decent chemistry.
Rex – Love the matchup , he is stupid enough to honestly believe he is a better QB then Romo and maybe tonight he will perform that way. I think they need 300 and 3 tds from him in order to win this game , 250 and 2 more like it , but the upside and potential is there for a very nice game , start him confidently , he will score.
Hightower – Nice back so far , I think his value will decrease as the season goes along , Helu will start to vulture touches but is a good enough runner in this system that he will be worth a start each week regardless of matchup. The cowboys have been GREAT against the run in the first two weeks and will give Timmy some trouble , but he should produce low end rb2 numbers.
Helu – 15 touches a week seems probable , needs to be owned by EVERYONE that owns Hightower , if one back was going to burn the boys tonight it would be him. I love adding youth to my fantasy teams.
Moss – Burns the cowboys , should have a great game on a big stage , long underrated , but always producing.
Fred Davis -I have loved this guy FOREVER! Been pimping him in my rankings as a sleeper and someone to own well BEFORE he broke out in week 1. My readers know this. I will say Cooley is NOT fully done yet and will get healthier soon , but Davis is the TE to own there. 5 for 60 is where I see his stat line ending.
Gaffney – Another underrated guy , his problem is the fact he has no substantial upside. But he is consistent enough and the Dallas secondary is bad enough that starting him is a safe bet for 4-6 catches and some low end flex points.
Everyone is picking the skins to win, I think Dallas wins this game:
Dallas 27 Skins 21